Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that’s what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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Although this indicates too good to be true, it is very real. The bidding sites actually incorporate a much money than they spend on the new items. Just because customers want to buy the authority to bid, on Quibids, a package of 100 bids is worth $60, which 60 cents per effort. So if you placed one bid and won the iPad at $20, plus it really can actually spend $20.60 onto the item.
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